3/8/2023 NCAAB Bets

6 picks from data driven predictive model for today's college basketball slate. Odds according to BetSaracen from Saracen Casino & Resort.

NC State -2.5 (-115)

North Carolina State (NC State) is the value pick to win against the spread of -2.5 when they take on Virginia Tech (VT) in the upcoming ACC tournament game on Wednesday. With an advantage in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and an average of 2.5 fewer possessions per 40 minutes, the Wolfpack are the clear choice to take down the Hokies.

NC State is led by two All-ACC second-team selections, Terquavion Smith and Jarkel Joiner, who average 17.3 points and 17.3 points per game, respectively. Smith and Joiner will be looking to lead their team to a victory in order to further bolster their postseason resume. NC State is currently projected to be on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament and they’re looking to make a statement on the court and help you guys win some bets.

Virginia Tech, on the other hand, is likely in need of a championship repeat to make the NCAA Tournament. The Hokies have been powered by 20 points from Grant Basile and 18 points and 13 rebounds from Justyn Mutts, but their performance on the court could be hindered by the slower pace of play.

It’s time to get your bets in and start winning some cash. With an advantage in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and an average of 2.5 fewer possessions per 40 minutes, NC State is the pick to win against the spread of -2.5.

South Carolina/Ole Miss u134.5 (-110)

South Carolina and Ole Miss are getting ready to face off in the opening round of the SEC tournament and if you're looking to make a bet on the game, the under might be the way to go.

Both teams are known for their slow pace of play, averaging 67.1 and 65.7 possessions per game, respectively, and their solid defensive performances. South Carolina ranks 28th in the nation in defensive efficiency, allowing opponents to score only 95.3 points per 100 possessions, while Ole Miss ranks 33rd, allowing opponents to score only 95.7 points per 100 possessions.

The Gamecocks have also been bolstered by the presence of freshman Gregory "GG" Jackson II, who leads the team in scoring with 15.1 points per game. Meanwhile, Ole Miss's interim coach Win Case is looking forward to the tournament and the Rebels have been linked with former Texas Longhorns coach Chris Beard as their next bench boss.

It's clear that the pace of play and defense will be the deciding factor in this game, so it's time to get your bets in. The under is your best bet. Look to the stats, do the math, and get ready to visit #ThePayWindow with South Carolina and Ole Miss.

Washington St. -13.5 (-115)

The Washington State Cougars, fresh off an impressive winning streak and with a major statistical edge over the Golden Bears, are an easy pick to cover the spread.

Coach Kyle Smith has seen his team build a strong synergy and trust in each other, with TJ Bamba averaging 25.7 points per game and hitting nearly 61 percent of his shots during the winning streak. Meanwhile, the Golden Bears are on the brink of major changes in their program, having lost 15 consecutive games since the beginning of January. With Joel Brown averaging 22 points per game, the Bears are last in Division I in scoring and rank 359th in assists.

The Washington State Cougars have the clear edge in this matchup, and their recent successes point to a sure bet. With their impressive 14 point advantage in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 7.3 point advantage in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, the Cougars are a solid pick to cover the spread of -13.5.

North Carolina Central -10.5 (-110)

North Carolina Central is fired up to take home the win against Delaware State. With 8.8 and 9.4 point advantages in Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Efficiency respectively, NCCU will be hard to beat. My model is projecting NC Central to win by 18.

It's not just their numbers that give them the edge. The roster of NCCU is full of experienced players who have seen their fair share of big games. They know what it takes to win, and they will be ready to do just that.

For all these reasons, North Carolina Central is the clear favorite to win against the spread against Delaware State.

Villanova -11.5 (-105)

If you’re looking to make a smart bet on the upcoming Villanova Wildcats vs. Georgetown Hoyas game, the odds are in the Wildcats’ favor. Despite their records, the Wildcats have a clear edge over the Hoyas in the matchup with an 8.9 point advantage in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and a 7 point advantage in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.

The Wildcats have been able to put up impressive offensive numbers this season, in part due to the play of their guards. Collin Gillespie and Justin Moore have combined for an average of 17.4 points per game, while Caleb Daniels has added 9.2 points per game. The Wildcats have also been able to spread the ball around, with Jeremiah Robinson-Earl and Justin Moore combining for 11.9 assists per game.

On the other side of the court, the Hoyas have struggled on the offensive end all season, with their leading scorer Jamorko Pickett averaging only 11.6 points per game. The Hoyas have also been unable to spread the ball around, with only one player averaging more than two assists per game.

The Wildcats have also been able to do a good job of taking care of the ball this season, with an average of only 10.1 turnovers per game. The Hoyas, on the other hand, have been extremely sloppy with the ball, averaging 13.5 turnovers per game.

The Wildcats have been able to take advantage of their superior offense and defense to put up impressive numbers against the spread this season. The Wildcats have gone 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games, while the Hoyas have only gone 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. With the Wildcats having a clear edge in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, there’s a good chance they’ll come out on top and cover the spread of -11.5.

Seton Hall -5.5 (-105)

Seton Hall enters the Big East Tournament off five losses in their last seven games of the regular season, and without their starting point guard Kadary Richmond. But the Pirates remain the favorite to win and cover the -5.5 point spread against DePaul.

Seton Hall has a major advantage in this matchup with their 11 point advantage in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Pirates boast a defensive efficiency of 97.1 while DePaul's stands at 106.3. With DePaul's struggles this season, their offensive efficiency of 95.2 might not be enough to get past Seton Hall's defense.

The Pirates have had success against DePaul this season, winning both of the regular season games. In the Pirates' first meeting this season, Seton Hall won 71-67 at DePaul. The Pirates relied heavily on Myles Cale and Quincy McKnight, who combined for 34 points. The second game ended 69-64, with Cale once again leading the way with 27 points.

Seton Hall's depth is another major factor in this game. While Kadary Richmond is out, the Pirates have been relying on a trio of guards in Odukale, Al Dawes, and Jamir Harris to take up the slack. The Pirates also have Ike Obiagu and Tyrese Samuel off the bench, who have both averaged double-digit points in their limited minutes this season.

I'm laying the points with Seton Hall to cover the -5.5 point spread against the slumping DePaul. The Pirates have the defense, depth, and experience to get the job done, so don't miss out on this chance to make some cash!